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August 15th COVID-19: 2nd Worst Wave Continues

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by Calculated Risk on 8/15/2021 03:03:00 PM

Note: Cases and Deaths are not updated on Sundays.

The 7-day average cases is the highest since February 5th.
The 7-day average hospitalizations is the highest since February 14th.

The 7-day average deaths is the highest since May 14th.


According to the CDC, on Vaccinations.

Total doses administered: 356,433,665, as of a week ago 351,400,930. Average doses last week: 0.72 million per day.

COVID Metrics TodayYesterdayWeek
AgoGoalPercent fully
Vaccinated50.7%50.6%50.2%>=70.0%1Fully Vaccinated
(millions)168.4168.1166.5>=2321New Cases
per Day3?119,523117,301103,422<=5,0002Hospitalized3?66,42866,20652,507<=3,0002Deaths per Day3?544511449<=5021 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37 day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7 day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths

? Goal met.

IMPORTANT: For “herd immunity” most experts believe we need 70% to 85% of the total population fully vaccinated (or already had COVID).

KUDOS to the residents of the 6 states that have achieved 60% of total population fully vaccinated: Vermont at 67.0%, Massachusetts, Maine, Connecticut, Rhode Island and Maryland.

The following 19 states have between 50% and 59.9% fully vaccinated: New Jersey at 59.7%, New Hampshire, Washington, New York State, New Mexico, Oregon, District of Columbia, Virginia, Colorado, Minnesota, Hawaii, California, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Iowa, Nebraska and Florida at 50.3%.

Next up (total population, fully vaccinated according to CDC) are Illinois at 49.7%, Michigan at 49.6%, South Dakota at 47.9, Ohio at 47.3%, Kentucky at 46.7%, Arizona at 46.4%, Kansas at 46.4%, Alaska at 46.2%, Utah at 45.8%, and Nevada at 45.8%.

Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7 day average (line) of hospitalizations reported. Note that the shaded area will probably be revised up.

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