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August 20th COVID-19: Cases May be Peaking


by Calculated Risk on 8/20/2021 03:19:00 PM

Some good news: Cases may be peaking, and this is the second consecutive day with over 1 million doses administered!

This data is from the CDC.

The 7-day average hospitalizations is the highest since February 8th.

The 7-day average deaths is the highest since April 1st.

According to the CDC, on Vaccinations.

Total doses administered: 360,634,287, as of a week ago 354,777,950. Average doses last week: 0.84 million per day.

COVID Metrics TodayYesterdayWeek
AgoGoalPercent fully
Vaccinated51.2%51.1%50.5%>=70.0%1Fully Vaccinated
(millions)170.0169.6167.7>=2321New Cases
per Day3?130,926133,088119,972<=5,0002Hospitalized3?78,39977,21464,658<=3,0002Deaths per Day3?686640585<=5021 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37 day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7 day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths

? Goal met.

IMPORTANT: For “herd immunity” most experts believe we need 70% to 85% of the total population fully vaccinated (or already had COVID).

KUDOS to the residents of the 7 states that have achieved 60% of total population fully vaccinated: Vermont at 67.3%, Massachusetts, Maine, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Maryland and New Jersey at 60.2%.

The following 17 states and D.C. have between 50% and 59.9% fully vaccinated: Washington at 59.2%, New Hampshire, New York State, New Mexico, Oregon, District of Columbia, Virginia, Colorado, Minnesota, California, Hawaii, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, Nebraska, Iowa and Illinois at 50.2%.

Next up (total population, fully vaccinated according to CDC) are Michigan at 49.8%, South Dakota at 48.3%, Ohio at 47.6%, Kentucky at 47.2%, Kansas at 46.9%, Arizona at 46.8%, Alaska at 46.5%, Utah at 46.5%, and Nevada at 46.4%.

Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7 day average (line) of positive tests reported.

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