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"Highest Mortgage Rates in a Month, But Just Barely"

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by Calculated Risk on 12/31/2021 05:15:00 PM

From Matthew Graham at MortgageNewsDaily: Highest Rates in a Month, But Just Barely

Mortgage rates began the week in decent shape, but moved higher somewhat abruptly yesterday. Context is important though. The smallest increment of adjustment for mortgages is typically 0.125%, and we haven’t seen a move that big since early November. In fact, the overall range in 30yr fixed rates hasn’t even been 0.125% during that time!

In other words, we’re only able to say “highest rates in a month” because they finally trickled to just slightly higher levels. On that note, we might as well prepare for the next technicality. Specifically, if things get just a bit worse, we’ll soon be able to say “highest rates in 9 months,” even though they won’t be too terribly different from today’s.

Click on graph for larger image.

This is a graph from Mortgage News Daily (MND) showing 30-year fixed rates from three sources (MND, MBA, Freddie Mac) since 2010.

The 30-year fixed rate for top tier scenarios was 3.27% yesterday, up from 3.26% on Wednesday. This is still historically very low.
If rates rise to 3.30% that will be highest since March 2021. And 3.46% would be the highest since rates spiked briefly at the beginning of the pandemic.

Go to MND and you can adjust the graph for different time periods.

Question #7 for 2022: How about housing starts and new home sales in 2022?

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