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July Vehicles Sales Decreased to 14.75 Million SAAR

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by Calculated Risk on 8/04/2021 08:40:00 AM

The BEA released their estimate of light vehicle sales for July this morning. The BEA estimates sales of 14.75 million SAAR in July 2021 (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate), down 4.1% from the June sales rate, and up 0.3% from July 2020.

This was well below the consensus estimate of 15.7 million SAAR.

Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows light vehicle sales since 2006 from the BEA (blue) and the BEA’s estimate for July (red).

The impact of COVID-19 was significant, and April 2020 was the worst month.

After April 2020, sales increased, and were close to sales in 2019 (the year before the pandemic).

However, sales have decreased recently due to supply issues.
Sales-to-date are down 2.4% compared to the same period in 2019.

The second graph shows light vehicle sales since the BEA started keeping data in 1967.

Note: dashed line is current estimated sales rate of 14.75 million SAAR.

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