by Calculated Risk on 10/13/2021 05:09:00 PM
AgoGoalPercent fully Vaccinated56.6%56.1%>=70.0%1Fully Vaccinated (millions)187.9186.4>=2321New Cases per Day386,18197,773<=5,0002Hospitalized357,73465,668<=3,0002Deaths per Day31,2521,452<=5021 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37 day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7 day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Goal met.
IMPORTANT: For “herd immunity” most experts believe we need 70% to 85% of the total population fully vaccinated (or already had COVID).
The following 20 states have between 50% and 59.9% fully vaccinated: Minnesota at 58.9%, Pennsylvania, Hawaii, Delaware, Florida, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Kentucky, South Dakota, Texas, Arizona, Kansas, Nevada, Alaska, Utah, North Carolina and Ohio at 51.0%.
Next up (total population, fully vaccinated according to CDC) are Montana at 49.3%, Indiana at 49.1%, Missouri at 48.7%, Oklahoma at 48.6% and South Carolina at 48.5%.
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7 day average (line) of positive tests reported.