by Calculated Risk on 10/19/2021 06:17:00 PM
AgoGoalPercent fully Vaccinated57.0%56.5%>=70.0%1Fully Vaccinated (millions)189.3187.7>=2321New Cases per Day375,57189,957<=5,0002Hospitalized352,14659,038<=3,0002Deaths per Day31,2601,298<=5021 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37 day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7 day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Goal met.
IMPORTANT: For “herd immunity” most experts believe we need 70% to 85% of the total population fully vaccinated (or already had COVID).
The following 20 states have between 50% and 59.9% fully vaccinated: Pennsylvania at 59.6%, Minnesota, Hawaii, Delaware, Florida, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Kentucky, South Dakota, Texas, Arizona, Kansas, Nevada, Alaska, Utah, North Carolina and Ohio at 51.3%.
Next up (total population, fully vaccinated according to CDC) are Montana at 49.7%, Indiana at 49.3%, Missouri at 49.1%, Oklahoma at 49.1% and South Carolina at 49.1%.
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7 day average (line) of positive tests reported.