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October 22nd COVID-19: Still Over 70,000 New Cases per Day

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by Calculated Risk on 10/22/2021 03:31:00 PM

Some important comments from Harvard Professor Subramanian on a recent paper he wrote (that is being misinterpreted):

“This paper supports vaccination as an important strategy for reducing infection and transmission, along with hand-washing, mask-wearing, and physical distancing.” … “Other research has clearly and definitively established that the vaccines significantly reduce the risk of hospitalization and mortality.”

Vaccinations are critical, but it is not enough. To get the case count down, we need to do more as Subramanian suggests.
The CDC is the source for all data.
According to the CDC, on Vaccinations. Total doses administered: 411,963,025, as of a week ago 406,570,875, or 0.77 million doses per day.

COVID Metrics TodayWeek
AgoGoalPercent fully Vaccinated57.3%56.8%>=70.0%1Fully Vaccinated (millions)190.2188.7>=2321New Cases per Day371,55084,239<=5,0002Hospitalized349,86456,177<=3,0002Deaths per Day31,2571,306<=5021 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37 day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7 day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths

? Goal met.

IMPORTANT: For “herd immunity” most experts believe we need 70% to 85% of the total population fully vaccinated (or already had COVID).

KUDOS to the residents of the 4 states that have achieved 70% of total population fully vaccinated: Vermont at 70.8%, Rhode Island, Connecticut, and Maine at 70.0% .
KUDOS also to the residents of the 11 states and D.C. that have achieved 60% of total population fully vaccinated: Massachusetts at 69.2%, New York, New Jersey, Maryland, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Washington, Oregon, Virginia, District of Columbia, Colorado, and California at 60.7%.

The following 20 states have between 50% and 59.9% fully vaccinated: Pennsylvania at 59.9%, Minnesota, Hawaii, Delaware, Florida, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Kentucky, South Dakota, Texas, Arizona, Kansas, Nevada, Alaska, Utah, North Carolina and Ohio at 51.5%.

Next up (total population, fully vaccinated according to CDC) are Montana at 49.9%, Indiana at 49.5%, Oklahoma at 49.5%, South Carolina at 49.4%, Missouri at 49.3%, and Georgia at 47.6%.

Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7 day average (line) of positive tests reported.

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