by Calculated Risk on 10/29/2021 03:34:00 PM
AgoGoalPercent fully Vaccinated57.8%57.3%>=70.0%1Fully Vaccinated (millions)192.0190.2>=2321New Cases per Day368,17773,020<=5,0002Hospitalized344,82950,335<=3,0002Deaths per Day31,0861,232<=5021 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37 day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7 day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Goal met.
IMPORTANT: For “herd immunity” most experts believe we need 70% to 85% of the total population fully vaccinated (or already had COVID). Note: COVID will probably stay endemic (at least for some time).
The following 20 states have between 50% and 59.9% fully vaccinated: Minnesota at 59.8%, Delaware, Hawaii, Florida, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Kentucky, South Dakota, Texas, Arizona, Kansas, Nevada, Alaska, Utah, North Carolina, Ohio and Montana at 50.4%.
Next up (total population, fully vaccinated according to CDC) are Oklahoma at 49.9%, South Carolina at 49.9%, Indiana at 49.8%, Missouri at 49.7%, Georgia at 48.0%, and Arkansas at 47.9%.
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7 day average (line) of positive tests reported.